MMAGangster’s UFC Fight Night 153: Gustafsson vs Smith free picks

UFC Fight Night 153: Gustafsson vs. Smith takes place at the Ericsson Globe in Stockholm, Sweden.

Here are my free picks.


Stevie Ray (+170) x1
Stevie Ray vs. Leonardo Santos – Preliminary Card (ESPN2)

I don’t agree with these betting odds, as I feel Stevie Ray has a very good chance at defending takedowns and outstriking the Brazilian Leo Santos on the feet for the majority of 15 minutes en route to a decision victory. The Brazilian Santos is coming back after a long layoff of over two and a half years, and even before the layoff he wasn’t really a threat to justify his almost 3-to-1 favorite odds. I see this as a fight that Ray could run away with and at +170 it’s worth it to gamble against.


Chris Fishgold wins Inside the Distance (+245) x1
Makwan Amirkhani vs. Chris Fishgold – Main Card (ESPN+)

I think it is more likely that this fight hits the judges’s scorecards for a decision, but I definitely like the value in this prop. I can see Fishgold dropping Amirkhani, taking his back and sinking in a rear naked choke to earn the tap. If the fight stays standing, I can also see Fishgold finding success with his counters and it would not surprise me to see him knocking Amirkhani out cold.



**Be sure to check out my PREMIUM PLAYS for UFC Fight Night 153: Gustafsson vs. Smith, by buying a premium monthly subscription! Which, includes premium plays from ALL of our team members, including myself, on various different sports, including MMA! I might be a little biased, but I truly believe it’s the BEST VALUE in the industry, hands down!

My PREMIUM PLAYS, for this week, features the main card bout between newcomer Korean prospect Sung Bin Jo and Swedish Daniel Teymur. Don’t miss out! Sign up today!