UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington takes place on December 14, 2019 at T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada, part of the Las Vegas Metropolitan Area.
This time we are risking 2.5 units in total.
Here are my props:
Amanda Nunes wins via Submission (+300) x1
Amanda Nunes vs. Germaine de Randamie – Main Card (PPV)
I think this is the most likely outcome to this Women’s Featherweight Championship bout. I think Nunes has a high level Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu game and I expect this fight to hit the mat, where I think she will have a great chance of pulling off the submission victory over de Randamie, in this ladies barn-burner.
Marlon Moraes wins in round 3 (+900) x0.5
Marlon Moraes vs. José Aldo – Main Card (PPV)
Moraes has the superior conditioning of the two in this Bantamweight contest and I could see him earning a stoppage in the third round, if Aldo fades. The Brazilian has been slowing down in recent fights and I wouldn’t expect improved cardio from him in this fight, specially going down in weight, so, at +900, it’s worth it to gamble against.
Ian Heinisch wins in round 3 (+1600) x0.5
Ian Heinisch vs. Omari Akhmedov – Preliminary Card (ESPN2)
I see value in this line, as I think Heinisch stands a good chance of finishing Akmedov once fatigue sets in for the Russian fighter. I think Heinisch will put the pressure on and eventually slow Akmedov down, ultimately securing a finish in the third round, either via T/KO or Submissiom.
Brandon Moreno wins via Decision (+420) x0.5
Brandon Moreno vs. Kai Kara-France – Early Preliminary card (UFC Fight Pass)
I think this is a coin-flip bout and lean with the underdog Moreno to get his hand raised. I don’t think Kara-France finishes him; I think Moreno will manage to win at least two out of three rounds, and likely win a unanimous or even a split decision on the scorecards.
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