UFC Fight Night 150: Jacaré vs. Hermansson will be held on April 27, 2019 at BB&T Center in Sunrise, Florida.

Here are my FREE prop plays:

Jason Gonzales wins via TKO/KO (+255)
Jim Miller vs. Jason Gonzales – Early Preliminary card (ESPN2)

I think Jim Miller is on his way out. He has been healing a shoulder injury and I don’t think he is 100% healthy for this fight. I think Gonzales winning via T/KO is a the most likely outcome to this lightweight contest, as he has way more power and if he connects I just don’t see Miller recovering. I see the TUF 22 contestant putting the veteran Miller away with punches, likely after landing a nasty headkick, and quite possibly in the very first round of action.

Augusto Sakai wins via Decision (+220)
Andrei Arlovski vs. Augusto Sakai – Preliminary card (ESPN)

I think this fight has a good chance of going the distance and I see Sakai getting away with the nod as he is the overall more active fighter. That said, Arlovski is always well prepared and ready to compete, but he’s had a lot of close fight recently and, if he wins tonight, it’ll be by a hair. I believe the value is on Sakai via decision at +220.

Roosevelt Roberts wins via Submission (+100)
Roosevelt Roberts vs. Thomas Gifford – Main Card (ESPN+)

Roberts is a justified betting favorite in this lightweight contest and I think he has a high chance of submitting the newcomer Gifford, as I am expecting a lot of scrambles and submission attemps by the Californian prospect. Both fighters are very similiar, but Roberts has the edge just about everywhere and his preffered method of victory is via Submission, so I see value in this prop even at only +100.

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