UFC Fight Night 161: Joanna vs. Waterson is taking place on October 12, 2019 at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida.

Here is my free pick:

Max Griffin wins Inside the Distance (+470) x1
Max Griffin vs. Alex Morono – Preliminary Card (ESPN+)

I think Griffin has a decent chance of earning the stoppage in this fight. I expect him to outstrike Morono on the feet, and I feel if he pours it on, he will be able to stop him with strikes and earn a TKO win. Morono certainly throws more volume, but Griffin has the superior technique with the superior durability, so if he is aggressive, I believe he will have opportunities to finish the fight. That said, “Pain” often has a strong first round and then begins to fade, so I am avoiding the “money line” bet in this case, as there is a chance he losses a decision due to fatigue in the later rounds.

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