SuparTipstar’s UFC Best Bet record to date is 10-20, +17.35u for an ROI of 49.43%.
The focus of my best bet tonight is the bantamweight clash between Iuri Alcantara and Cory Sandhagen.
Sandhagen made his debut in January at featherweight beating up on an outmatched Austin Arnett. He looked impressive in that fight, fighting with confident, if reckless, aggression. He certainly showed he belonged but a nit-picker could point to him eating some clean shots, having his back taken for a moment, and losing mount in that fight.
Looking impressive against a scrub and showing you belong is all well and good, but you have to be one hell of a fighter to be a 1.5 favourite against Iuri Alcantara, a BJJ black belt with dangerous striking and 46 fights to his name. It’s a stretch for me.
The thing about Iuri is that he is very inconsistent and thus hard to bet on. On his day he can beat almost anyone, and on an off day he can be beat by almost anyone. I think Sandhagen’s youthful aggression will bring the fight to Iuri, and if he’s not feeling it he will wilt and collapse, but if he is feeling it the best fighter will be drawn out of him.
People know all of this about Iuri and where he stands as a fighter. It’s Sandhagen just getting that little too much respect / hype that gives us an opportunity here. Pair that with his likely aggression and I think we could see a guy biting off more than he can chew.
My best bet(s) for UFC Fight Night 135 is Iuri Alcantara in round 1 @ 10.0, +900 (SkyBet) and Iuri Alcantara in round 2 @ 12.0, +1100 (SkyBet, Bet365). Each bet is 0.5u, totalling 1u.